Scenarios Initiative to Examine Future of Syria

Scenario Planning: Syria 2018
Michael Oppenheimer
Senior Fellow for Scenario Planning, IISS
Clinical Professor, Center for Global Affairs, New York University
Friday 18 October, 14:00-15:00 at Arundel House
      Published in Summer 2013, the “Syria: 2018” scenarios report discusses three distinct scenarios for how the current conflict in Syria could unfold over the next five years: as a regionalized conflict, a contained civil war, or a negotiated settlement. Michael Oppenheimer, Consulting Senior Fellow for Scenario Planning at IISS and Clinical Professor at the Center for Global Affairs at New York University, will be speaking on the scenarios themselves as well as the methodology used to reach these conclusions.
     As an associate clinical professor for the MS in Global Affairs programme at New York University, Michael Oppenheimer draws upon his expertise in international relations and foreign policy to help his students to find connections between essential academic theories and their practical applications on the global stage.
       For nearly four decades, Oppenheimer has provided research, consulting, and policy advice for the US foreign policy and intelligence communities. As an expert on international conflict, global economics, US-European relations, and national security strategy, he has imagined, speculated, and created solutions to conflict, through the use of scenarios and alternative analyses, free of political motivation.
This meeting will be chaired by Steven Simon, Executive Director, IISS-US and Corresponding Director, IISS-ME. It will take place in the Council Room at Arundel House.
Please join us for tea/coffee from 13:30.
Charlotte Laycock

Arundel House, 13–15 Arundel Street, Temple Place, London WC2R 3DX

All previously published scenarios, and a detailed description of the Initiative’s process, are available at