Article by Michael Oppenheimer Published in SAIS Review

Michael Oppenheimer recently published an article in the Winter-Spring 2012 SAIS Review of International Affairs entitled “From Prediction to Recognition: Using Alternate Scenarios to Improve Foreign Policy Decisions.” Oppenheimer argues for the value of policymakers’ use of alternate scenarios –“ believable narratives describing how very different futures could emerge from current circumstances”—to challenge embedded mindsets and ultimately improve the policy making process. To read more download the full article here